Collier, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Collier, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 20.1 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 60,450 | 65.6% | 33.1 pts (30,529 votes) | 92,162 | — | 33.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 83,631 | 65.0% | 30.9 pts (39,739 votes) | 128,683 | +2.6 pts | 26.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 86,379 | 60.8% | 22.5 pts (31,929 votes) | 141,988 | +8.5 pts | 25.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 96,520 | 64.7% | 30.1 pts (44,822 votes) | 149,112 | -7.6 pts | 31.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 105,423 | 61.7% | 26.0 pts (44,338 votes) | 170,789 | +3.6 pts | 25.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 128,950 | 62.0% | 24.7 pts (51,329 votes) | 207,818 | +1.8 pts | 21.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 143,267 | 66.2% | 33.1 pts (71,547 votes) | 216,370 | -8.4 pts | 20.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 254,015 | 36.3% of population |
| 2004 | 296,021 | 43.5% of population |
| 2008 | 316,641 | 44.8% of population |
| 2012 | 332,233 | 44.9% of population |
| 2016 | 365,445 | 46.7% of population |
| 2020 | 377,331 | 55.1% of population |
| 2024 | 416,233 | 52.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Collier shifted 0.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Collier has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Collier voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Collier has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Collier?
Collier's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 22.7 points (31,929 votes) out of 141,988 total votes cast.
Has Collier ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Collier has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Collier?
The widest margin on record for Collier was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 33.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Collier relative to its population?
In 2024, 216,370 votes were recorded in Collier against a total population of 416,233 (52.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Collier a presidential bellwether county?
Collier has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).