Sarasota, Florida — Presidential Election Results

Sarasota, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 5.1 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Florida
2000 George W. Bush Republican 83,100 51.6% 6.4 pts (10,247 votes) 160,942 — 6.6 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 104,692 53.5% 8.3 pts (16,250 votes) 195,652 -1.8 pts 3.4 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 102,897 49.6% 0.1 pts (211 votes) 207,353 +8.3 pts 2.9 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 110,504 53.3% 7.4 pts (15,385 votes) 207,480 -7.4 pts 8.4 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 124,438 54.3% 11.6 pts (26,568 votes) 229,063 -4.5 pts 10.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 148,370 54.8% 10.4 pts (28,260 votes) 270,575 +1.4 pts 7.1 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 163,219 58.7% 18.2 pts (50,551 votes) 277,866 -7.8 pts 5.1 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 327,165 49.2% of population
2004 357,751 54.7% of population
2008 377,178 55.0% of population
2012 386,437 53.7% of population
2016 412,968 55.5% of population
2020 436,256 62.0% of population
2024 476,604 58.3% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sarasota shifted 11.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+6.6 pts 2004: R+8.4 pts 2008: R+0.1 pts 2012: R+7.5 pts 2016: R+12.0 pts 2020: R+10.5 pts 2024: R+18.3 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Sarasota has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Florida Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Sarasota voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Sarasota has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Sarasota?

Sarasota's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 0.1 points (211 votes) out of 207,353 total votes cast.

Has Sarasota ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Sarasota has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sarasota?

The widest margin on record for Sarasota was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 18.3 points.

How many votes were cast in Sarasota relative to its population?

In 2024, 277,866 votes were recorded in Sarasota against a total population of 476,604 (58.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Sarasota a presidential bellwether county?

Sarasota has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).