Santa Rosa, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Santa Rosa, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 38.2 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 36,274 | 72.1% | 46.6 pts (23,472 votes) | 50,319 | — | 47.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 52,059 | 77.3% | 55.6 pts (37,400 votes) | 67,307 | -8.2 pts | 51.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 55,972 | 73.5% | 47.9 pts (36,502 votes) | 76,185 | +7.7 pts | 51.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 58,186 | 75.7% | 52.6 pts (40,418 votes) | 76,846 | -4.8 pts | 54.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 65,339 | 74.5% | 53.4 pts (46,875 votes) | 87,745 | -2.7 pts | 54.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 77,385 | 72.4% | 46.5 pts (49,773 votes) | 106,928 | +8.5 pts | 44.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 84,314 | 75.0% | 50.9 pts (57,279 votes) | 112,425 | -4.0 pts | 38.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 118,360 | 42.5% of population |
| 2004 | 137,241 | 49.0% of population |
| 2008 | 148,538 | 51.3% of population |
| 2012 | 158,190 | 48.6% of population |
| 2016 | 169,894 | 51.6% of population |
| 2020 | 189,022 | 56.6% of population |
| 2024 | 207,653 | 54.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Santa Rosa shifted 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Santa Rosa has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Santa Rosa voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Santa Rosa has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Santa Rosa?
Santa Rosa's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 47.4 points (49,773 votes) out of 106,928 total votes cast.
Has Santa Rosa ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Santa Rosa has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Santa Rosa?
The widest margin on record for Santa Rosa was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 56.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Santa Rosa relative to its population?
In 2024, 112,425 votes were recorded in Santa Rosa against a total population of 207,653 (54.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Santa Rosa a presidential bellwether county?
Santa Rosa has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).