Pinellas, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Pinellas, Florida has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 7.9 pts more Dem. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 200,630 | 50.3% | 4.0 pts (15,805 votes) | 398,472 | — | 4.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 225,686 | 49.6% | 0.0 pts (226 votes) | 455,357 | -4.2 pts | 5.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 248,299 | 53.6% | 8.3 pts (38,233 votes) | 463,282 | +8.4 pts | 5.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 239,104 | 52.2% | 5.6 pts (25,846 votes) | 457,702 | -2.6 pts | 4.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 239,201 | 48.6% | 1.1 pts (5,500 votes) | 492,403 | -6.9 pts | 0.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 277,450 | 49.6% | 0.2 pts (1,241 votes) | 559,715 | +1.4 pts | 3.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 269,472 | 52.1% | 5.2 pts (27,020 votes) | 517,074 | -5.5 pts | 7.9 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 922,150 | 43.2% of population |
| 2004 | 928,305 | 49.1% of population |
| 2008 | 916,458 | 50.6% of population |
| 2012 | 921,642 | 49.7% of population |
| 2016 | 959,874 | 51.3% of population |
| 2020 | 959,839 | 58.3% of population |
| 2024 | 965,870 | 53.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Pinellas shifted 9.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Pinellas has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Pinellas voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Pinellas has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Pinellas?
Pinellas's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.1 points (226 votes) out of 455,357 total votes cast.
Has Pinellas ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Pinellas changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, 2016, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Pinellas?
The widest margin on record for Pinellas was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 8.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Pinellas relative to its population?
In 2024, 517,074 votes were recorded in Pinellas against a total population of 965,870 (53.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Pinellas a presidential bellwether county?
Pinellas has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).