Pasco, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Pasco, Florida has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 12.3 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 69,564 | 48.7% | 0.7 pts (982 votes) | 142,731 | — | 0.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 103,230 | 54.1% | 9.7 pts (18,481 votes) | 190,916 | -10.5 pts | 4.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 110,104 | 51.2% | 3.6 pts (7,687 votes) | 214,866 | +6.2 pts | 6.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 112,427 | 52.6% | 6.6 pts (14,164 votes) | 213,573 | -3.1 pts | 7.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 142,101 | 58.9% | 21.5 pts (51,959 votes) | 241,139 | -15.7 pts | 21.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 179,621 | 59.5% | 20.1 pts (60,548 votes) | 301,970 | +2.1 pts | 16.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 197,779 | 62.1% | 25.2 pts (80,329 votes) | 318,471 | -5.2 pts | 12.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 347,038 | 41.1% of population |
| 2004 | 401,648 | 47.5% of population |
| 2008 | 461,313 | 46.6% of population |
| 2012 | 469,637 | 45.5% of population |
| 2016 | 509,937 | 47.3% of population |
| 2020 | 566,182 | 53.3% of population |
| 2024 | 659,114 | 48.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Pasco shifted 26.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Pasco has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Pasco voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Pasco has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Pasco?
Pasco's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 0.7 points (982 votes) out of 142,731 total votes cast.
Has Pasco ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Pasco changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Pasco?
The widest margin on record for Pasco was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 25.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Pasco relative to its population?
In 2024, 318,471 votes were recorded in Pasco against a total population of 659,114 (48.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Pasco a presidential bellwether county?
Pasco has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).