Osceola, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Osceola, Florida has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 11.8 pts more Dem. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 28,181 | 50.6% | 3.5 pts (1,969 votes) | 55,659 | — | 3.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 43,117 | 52.5% | 5.5 pts (4,484 votes) | 82,204 | -9.1 pts | 0.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 59,962 | 59.6% | 19.7 pts (19,876 votes) | 100,670 | +25.4 pts | 17.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 67,239 | 61.9% | 24.5 pts (26,647 votes) | 108,698 | +4.8 pts | 23.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 85,458 | 61.0% | 25.1 pts (35,157 votes) | 140,206 | +1.2 pts | 27.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 97,297 | 56.4% | 13.8 pts (23,817 votes) | 172,436 | -12.0 pts | 17.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 86,713 | 50.2% | 1.5 pts (2,508 votes) | 172,780 | -15.4 pts | 11.8 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 174,146 | 32.0% of population |
| 2004 | 216,541 | 38.0% of population |
| 2008 | 261,746 | 38.5% of population |
| 2012 | 288,876 | 37.6% of population |
| 2016 | 338,209 | 41.5% of population |
| 2020 | 391,163 | 44.1% of population |
| 2024 | 468,058 | 36.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Osceola shifted 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Osceola has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Osceola voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Osceola has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Osceola?
Osceola's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 1.5 points (2,508 votes) out of 172,780 total votes cast.
Has Osceola ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Osceola changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Osceola?
The widest margin on record for Osceola was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 25.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Osceola relative to its population?
In 2024, 172,780 votes were recorded in Osceola against a total population of 468,058 (36.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Osceola a presidential bellwether county?
Osceola has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).