Miami-Dade, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Miami-Dade, Florida has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 1.7 pts more Dem. than Florida overall.
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Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 328,808 | 52.6% | 6.3 pts (39,275 votes) | 625,449 | — | 6.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 409,732 | 52.9% | 6.3 pts (48,637 votes) | 774,726 | -0.0 pts | 11.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 499,831 | 57.9% | 16.1 pts (139,280 votes) | 863,486 | +9.9 pts | 13.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 541,440 | 61.6% | 23.7 pts (208,459 votes) | 878,314 | +7.7 pts | 23.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 624,146 | 63.7% | 29.6 pts (290,147 votes) | 980,204 | +6.4 pts | 31.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 617,864 | 53.4% | 7.4 pts (85,031 votes) | 1,156,816 | -22.9 pts | 10.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 605,590 | 55.4% | 11.4 pts (125,235 votes) | 1,094,105 | -18.9 pts | 1.7 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2,259,508 | 27.7% of population |
| 2004 | 2,358,684 | 32.8% of population |
| 2008 | 2,436,062 | 35.4% of population |
| 2012 | 2,576,554 | 34.1% of population |
| 2016 | 2,692,213 | 36.4% of population |
| 2020 | 2,695,729 | 42.9% of population |
| 2024 | 2,838,461 | 38.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Miami-Dade shifted 17.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Miami-Dade has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Miami-Dade voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Miami-Dade has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Miami-Dade?
Miami-Dade's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 6.3 points (48,637 votes) out of 774,726 total votes cast.
Has Miami-Dade ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Miami-Dade changed which party won the county in: 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Miami-Dade?
The widest margin on record for Miami-Dade was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 30.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Miami-Dade relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,094,105 votes were recorded in Miami-Dade against a total population of 2,838,461 (38.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Miami-Dade a presidential bellwether county?
Miami-Dade has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).