Manatee, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Manatee, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 10.5 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 57,952 | 52.6% | 8.0 pts (8,775 votes) | 110,221 | — | 8.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 81,318 | 56.6% | 14.0 pts (20,056 votes) | 143,621 | -5.9 pts | 9.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 80,721 | 53.1% | 7.0 pts (10,687 votes) | 151,994 | +7.0 pts | 9.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 85,627 | 55.8% | 12.5 pts (19,124 votes) | 153,491 | -5.5 pts | 13.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 101,944 | 57.0% | 17.2 pts (30,720 votes) | 178,958 | -5.2 pts | 16.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 124,987 | 57.6% | 16.0 pts (34,821 votes) | 216,958 | +1.6 pts | 12.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 140,486 | 61.4% | 23.5 pts (53,812 votes) | 228,860 | -7.5 pts | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 265,644 | 41.5% of population |
| 2004 | 296,183 | 48.5% of population |
| 2008 | 318,766 | 47.7% of population |
| 2012 | 333,844 | 46.0% of population |
| 2016 | 375,373 | 47.7% of population |
| 2020 | 401,644 | 54.0% of population |
| 2024 | 458,352 | 49.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Manatee shifted 15.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Manatee has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Manatee voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Manatee has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Manatee?
Manatee's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 7.1 points (10,687 votes) out of 151,994 total votes cast.
Has Manatee ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Manatee has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Manatee?
The widest margin on record for Manatee was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 23.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Manatee relative to its population?
In 2024, 228,860 votes were recorded in Manatee against a total population of 458,352 (49.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Manatee a presidential bellwether county?
Manatee has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).