Hernando, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Hernando, Florida has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 24.1 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 32,644 | 50.1% | 3.1 pts (1,998 votes) | 65,219 | — | 3.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 42,635 | 52.9% | 6.8 pts (5,448 votes) | 80,547 | -10.0 pts | 1.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 45,021 | 51.2% | 3.6 pts (3,135 votes) | 87,901 | +3.2 pts | 6.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 44,938 | 53.7% | 8.5 pts (7,108 votes) | 83,667 | -5.0 pts | 9.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 58,970 | 62.9% | 29.0 pts (27,175 votes) | 93,796 | -21.4 pts | 28.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 70,412 | 64.6% | 30.2 pts (32,893 votes) | 108,922 | -0.5 pts | 27.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 75,446 | 68.2% | 37.1 pts (41,015 votes) | 110,691 | -6.9 pts | 24.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 131,390 | 49.6% of population |
| 2004 | 149,593 | 53.8% of population |
| 2008 | 172,437 | 51.0% of population |
| 2012 | 172,718 | 48.4% of population |
| 2016 | 182,459 | 51.4% of population |
| 2020 | 195,629 | 55.7% of population |
| 2024 | 218,150 | 50.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hernando shifted 40.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hernando has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hernando voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hernando has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hernando?
Hernando's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 3.2 points (1,998 votes) out of 65,219 total votes cast.
Has Hernando ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Hernando changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hernando?
The widest margin on record for Hernando was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 37.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Hernando relative to its population?
In 2024, 110,691 votes were recorded in Hernando against a total population of 218,150 (50.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hernando a presidential bellwether county?
Hernando has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).