Hardee, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Hardee, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 43.5 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,765 | 60.4% | 22.9 pts (1,426 votes) | 6,233 | — | 23.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,049 | 69.7% | 40.0 pts (2,900 votes) | 7,249 | -16.9 pts | 35.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,763 | 64.3% | 29.6 pts (2,195 votes) | 7,412 | +10.3 pts | 32.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,696 | 65.0% | 30.9 pts (2,233 votes) | 7,226 | -1.3 pts | 32.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,242 | 69.1% | 40.8 pts (3,093 votes) | 7,583 | -10.7 pts | 40.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,122 | 72.2% | 45.1 pts (3,824 votes) | 8,485 | -3.6 pts | 42.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,336 | 77.8% | 56.3 pts (4,585 votes) | 8,143 | -11.3 pts | 43.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 26,769 | 23.3% of population |
| 2004 | 26,847 | 27.0% of population |
| 2008 | 27,603 | 26.9% of population |
| 2012 | 27,439 | 26.3% of population |
| 2016 | 27,219 | 27.9% of population |
| 2020 | 25,341 | 33.5% of population |
| 2024 | 26,068 | 31.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hardee shifted 33.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hardee has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hardee voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hardee has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hardee?
Hardee's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 23.4 points (1,426 votes) out of 6,233 total votes cast.
Has Hardee ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Hardee has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hardee?
The widest margin on record for Hardee was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 56.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Hardee relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,143 votes were recorded in Hardee against a total population of 26,068 (31.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hardee a presidential bellwether county?
Hardee has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).