Gulf, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Gulf, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 41.2 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,550 | 57.8% | 18.8 pts (1,153 votes) | 6,144 | — | 19.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,805 | 66.0% | 33.0 pts (2,398 votes) | 7,277 | -13.9 pts | 28.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,980 | 69.1% | 39.3 pts (2,831 votes) | 7,205 | -6.5 pts | 42.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,995 | 70.3% | 41.9 pts (2,981 votes) | 7,108 | -2.8 pts | 43.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,329 | 73.1% | 49.5 pts (3,609 votes) | 7,293 | -8.7 pts | 50.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,113 | 74.9% | 50.6 pts (4,128 votes) | 8,163 | +0.2 pts | 47.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,684 | 76.9% | 54.2 pts (4,714 votes) | 8,697 | -3.5 pts | 41.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 14,566 | 42.2% of population |
| 2004 | 15,455 | 47.1% of population |
| 2008 | 15,851 | 45.5% of population |
| 2012 | 15,770 | 45.1% of population |
| 2016 | 16,062 | 45.4% of population |
| 2020 | 14,259 | 57.2% of population |
| 2024 | 15,876 | 54.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Gulf shifted 35.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Gulf has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Gulf voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Gulf has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Gulf?
Gulf's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 19.4 points (1,153 votes) out of 6,144 total votes cast.
Has Gulf ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Gulf has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Gulf?
The widest margin on record for Gulf was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 54.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Gulf relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,697 votes were recorded in Gulf against a total population of 15,876 (54.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Gulf a presidential bellwether county?
Gulf has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).