Flagler, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Flagler, Florida has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 15.2 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 13,897 | 51.3% | 4.7 pts (1,284 votes) | 27,111 | — | 4.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 19,633 | 51.0% | 2.7 pts (1,055 votes) | 38,480 | -7.6 pts | 2.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 24,726 | 50.4% | 1.6 pts (775 votes) | 49,031 | +4.4 pts | 1.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 26,969 | 53.3% | 7.4 pts (3,762 votes) | 50,595 | -9.1 pts | 8.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 33,850 | 58.9% | 20.6 pts (11,824 votes) | 57,503 | -13.7 pts | 19.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 43,043 | 60.0% | 20.8 pts (14,882 votes) | 71,716 | +0.3 pts | 17.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 51,014 | 63.8% | 28.2 pts (22,583 votes) | 79,968 | -7.5 pts | 15.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 50,579 | 53.6% of population |
| 2004 | 69,387 | 55.5% of population |
| 2008 | 93,546 | 52.4% of population |
| 2012 | 98,434 | 51.4% of population |
| 2016 | 107,406 | 53.5% of population |
| 2020 | 116,032 | 61.8% of population |
| 2024 | 136,744 | 58.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Flagler shifted 33.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Flagler has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Flagler voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Flagler has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Flagler?
Flagler's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 1.6 points (775 votes) out of 49,031 total votes cast.
Has Flagler ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Flagler changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Flagler?
The widest margin on record for Flagler was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 28.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Flagler relative to its population?
In 2024, 79,968 votes were recorded in Flagler against a total population of 136,744 (58.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Flagler a presidential bellwether county?
Flagler has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).