Escambia, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Escambia, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 6.5 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 73,017 | 62.6% | 27.5 pts (32,074 votes) | 116,648 | — | 28.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 93,566 | 65.3% | 31.6 pts (45,237 votes) | 143,278 | -3.7 pts | 26.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 91,411 | 59.2% | 19.3 pts (29,839 votes) | 154,447 | +12.4 pts | 22.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 88,711 | 59.7% | 20.6 pts (30,526 votes) | 148,502 | -1.3 pts | 21.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 88,808 | 58.2% | 20.6 pts (31,347 votes) | 152,469 | -0.7 pts | 20.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 96,674 | 56.7% | 15.1 pts (25,745 votes) | 170,372 | +6.1 pts | 12.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 96,407 | 59.2% | 19.5 pts (31,806 votes) | 162,755 | -4.4 pts | 6.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 294,725 | 39.6% of population |
| 2004 | 298,225 | 48.0% of population |
| 2008 | 296,854 | 52.0% of population |
| 2012 | 303,423 | 48.9% of population |
| 2016 | 311,473 | 49.0% of population |
| 2020 | 322,612 | 52.8% of population |
| 2024 | 331,275 | 49.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Escambia shifted 8.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Escambia has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Escambia voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Escambia has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Escambia?
Escambia's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 15.4 points (25,745 votes) out of 170,372 total votes cast.
Has Escambia ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Escambia has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Escambia?
The widest margin on record for Escambia was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 31.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Escambia relative to its population?
In 2024, 162,755 votes were recorded in Escambia against a total population of 331,275 (49.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Escambia a presidential bellwether county?
Escambia has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).