Dauphin, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Dauphin, Pennsylvania has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 6 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008.
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 53,631 | 53.3% | 9.2 pts (9,241 votes) | 100,658 | — |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 65,296 | 53.9% | 8.2 pts (9,997 votes) | 121,208 | +1.1 pts |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 69,975 | 54.0% | 9.1 pts (11,737 votes) | 129,526 | +17.4 pts |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 64,965 | 52.4% | 6.1 pts (7,515 votes) | 124,008 | -3.0 pts |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 64,706 | 49.4% | 2.9 pts (3,843 votes) | 130,872 | -3.1 pts |
| 2020 | Data not yet available for this cycle — see sourcing note below. | ||||||
| 2024 | Kamala Harris | Democratic | 78,327 | 52.4% | 5.9 pts (8,853 votes) | 149,526 | +2.9 pts |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Dauphin shifted 15.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.