Saginaw, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Saginaw, Michigan has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 6 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016.
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 50,825 | 54.2% | 10.3 pts (9,673 votes) | 93,756 | — |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 54,887 | 53.4% | 7.5 pts (7,722 votes) | 102,852 | -3.0 pts |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 60,276 | 57.9% | 17.3 pts (18,051 votes) | 104,090 | +10.0 pts |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 54,381 | 55.5% | 11.9 pts (11,661 votes) | 98,062 | -5.6 pts |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 45,469 | 48.2% | 1.1 pts (1,073 votes) | 94,320 | -13.2 pts |
| 2020 | Data not yet available for this cycle — see sourcing note below. | ||||||
| 2024 | Donald Trump | Republican | 52,912 | 51.0% | 3.3 pts (3,397 votes) | 103,846 | -2.1 pts |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Saginaw shifted 13.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.