Bay, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Bay, Michigan has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 6 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016.
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 28,251 | 54.7% | 11.8 pts (6,101 votes) | 51,636 | — |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 31,049 | 54.4% | 9.8 pts (5,601 votes) | 57,059 | -2.2 pts |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 32,589 | 56.7% | 15.3 pts (8,794 votes) | 57,428 | +5.7 pts |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 27,877 | 52.2% | 5.6 pts (2,966 votes) | 53,381 | -10.0 pts |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 28,328 | 53.5% | 12.6 pts (6,686 votes) | 52,977 | -19.0 pts |
| 2020 | Data not yet available for this cycle — see sourcing note below. | ||||||
| 2024 | Donald Trump | Republican | 34,792 | 56.7% | 14.7 pts (9,025 votes) | 61,338 | -1.5 pts |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Bay shifted 27.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.