Warren, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Warren, Pennsylvania has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 37.8 pts more Rep. than Pennsylvania overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,290 | 53.0% | 10.0 pts (1,753 votes) | 17,541 | — | 14.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,999 | 57.1% | 15.3 pts (2,955 votes) | 19,273 | -5.1 pts | 18.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 9,685 | 52.4% | 6.2 pts (1,148 votes) | 18,494 | +9.2 pts | 16.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 10,010 | 57.9% | 17.4 pts (3,015 votes) | 17,299 | -11.4 pts | 23.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 12,477 | 67.7% | 39.8 pts (7,332 votes) | 18,434 | -23.9 pts | 40.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 14,237 | 68.9% | 39.6 pts (8,171 votes) | 20,650 | +1.4 pts | 41.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 14,345 | 69.2% | 39.2 pts (8,133 votes) | 20,723 | +0.7 pts | 37.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 43,716 | 40.1% of population |
| 2004 | 42,667 | 45.2% of population |
| 2008 | 41,853 | 44.2% of population |
| 2012 | 41,261 | 41.9% of population |
| 2016 | 40,026 | 46.1% of population |
| 2020 | 38,526 | 53.6% of population |
| 2024 | 37,373 | 55.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Warren shifted 29.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Warren has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Warren voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Warren has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Warren?
Warren's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 6.3 points (1,148 votes) out of 18,494 total votes cast.
Has Warren ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Warren has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Warren?
The widest margin on record for Warren was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 41.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Warren relative to its population?
In 2024, 20,723 votes were recorded in Warren against a total population of 37,373 (55.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Warren a presidential bellwether county?
Warren has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).