Blair, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Blair, Pennsylvania has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 42.0 pts more Rep. than Pennsylvania overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 28,376 | 62.9% | 27.9 pts (12,602 votes) | 45,140 | — | 32.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 35,751 | 66.0% | 32.6 pts (17,646 votes) | 54,178 | -4.2 pts | 35.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 32,708 | 61.6% | 24.3 pts (12,895 votes) | 53,081 | +8.2 pts | 35.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 33,319 | 66.3% | 33.9 pts (17,043 votes) | 50,241 | -9.8 pts | 39.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 39,135 | 71.3% | 45.9 pts (25,177 votes) | 54,909 | -13.1 pts | 46.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 45,306 | 71.2% | 43.5 pts (27,670 votes) | 63,595 | +3.5 pts | 45.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 46,352 | 71.4% | 43.5 pts (28,225 votes) | 64,949 | +0.2 pts | 42.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 128,981 | 35.0% of population |
| 2004 | 127,194 | 42.6% of population |
| 2008 | 127,112 | 41.8% of population |
| 2012 | 126,544 | 39.7% of population |
| 2016 | 123,708 | 44.4% of population |
| 2020 | 122,664 | 51.8% of population |
| 2024 | 120,269 | 54.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Blair shifted 15.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Blair has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Blair voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Blair has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Blair?
Blair's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 24.6 points (12,895 votes) out of 53,081 total votes cast.
Has Blair ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Blair has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Blair?
The widest margin on record for Blair was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 47.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Blair relative to its population?
In 2024, 64,949 votes were recorded in Blair against a total population of 120,269 (54.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Blair a presidential bellwether county?
Blair has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).