Armstrong, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Armstrong, Pennsylvania has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 51.9 pts more Rep. than Pennsylvania overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,508 | 56.6% | 16.0 pts (4,381 votes) | 27,423 | — | 20.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 18,925 | 60.9% | 22.2 pts (6,900 votes) | 31,097 | -5.8 pts | 24.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 18,542 | 61.7% | 24.6 pts (7,404 votes) | 30,072 | -2.7 pts | 35.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 20,142 | 68.0% | 37.5 pts (11,097 votes) | 29,602 | -13.1 pts | 43.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 23,484 | 74.3% | 51.6 pts (16,306 votes) | 31,618 | -15.2 pts | 52.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 27,489 | 75.6% | 52.3 pts (19,032 votes) | 36,370 | +0.2 pts | 54.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 28,296 | 76.2% | 53.2 pts (19,743 votes) | 37,119 | -0.6 pts | 51.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 72,268 | 37.9% of population |
| 2004 | 71,404 | 43.6% of population |
| 2008 | 69,611 | 43.2% of population |
| 2012 | 68,176 | 43.4% of population |
| 2016 | 66,397 | 47.6% of population |
| 2020 | 65,460 | 55.6% of population |
| 2024 | 63,679 | 58.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Armstrong shifted 37.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Armstrong has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Armstrong voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Armstrong has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Armstrong?
Armstrong's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 16.4 points (4,381 votes) out of 27,423 total votes cast.
Has Armstrong ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Armstrong has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Armstrong?
The widest margin on record for Armstrong was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 53.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Armstrong relative to its population?
In 2024, 37,119 votes were recorded in Armstrong against a total population of 63,679 (58.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Armstrong a presidential bellwether county?
Armstrong has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).