Tioga, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Tioga, Pennsylvania has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 50.5 pts more Rep. than Pennsylvania overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,635 | 65.2% | 34.0 pts (5,018 votes) | 14,772 | — | 39.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,019 | 68.4% | 37.5 pts (6,582 votes) | 17,571 | -2.5 pts | 40.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 11,326 | 63.0% | 27.5 pts (4,936 votes) | 17,965 | +9.8 pts | 38.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 11,342 | 66.7% | 35.2 pts (5,985 votes) | 17,004 | -8.0 pts | 41.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 13,614 | 74.3% | 53.0 pts (9,713 votes) | 18,325 | -19.6 pts | 54.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,742 | 74.7% | 51.2 pts (10,787 votes) | 21,075 | +3.3 pts | 53.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,272 | 75.4% | 51.8 pts (11,172 votes) | 21,587 | -0.2 pts | 50.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 41,309 | 35.8% of population |
| 2004 | 41,724 | 42.1% of population |
| 2008 | 41,609 | 43.2% of population |
| 2012 | 42,451 | 40.1% of population |
| 2016 | 41,250 | 44.4% of population |
| 2020 | 41,017 | 51.4% of population |
| 2024 | 40,698 | 53.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Tioga shifted 17.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Tioga has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Tioga voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Tioga has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Tioga?
Tioga's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 27.9 points (4,936 votes) out of 17,965 total votes cast.
Has Tioga ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Tioga has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Tioga?
The widest margin on record for Tioga was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 55.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Tioga relative to its population?
In 2024, 21,587 votes were recorded in Tioga against a total population of 40,698 (53.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Tioga a presidential bellwether county?
Tioga has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).