Northampton, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Northampton, Pennsylvania has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 53,097 | 50.7% | 5.4 pts (5,701 votes) | 104,690 | — | 1.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 63,446 | 50.1% | 1.1 pts (1,344 votes) | 126,740 | -4.6 pts | 1.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 75,255 | 55.5% | 12.3 pts (16,704 votes) | 135,581 | +11.4 pts | 2.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 67,606 | 51.7% | 4.7 pts (6,160 votes) | 130,735 | -7.7 pts | 0.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 71,736 | 50.0% | 3.8 pts (5,464 votes) | 143,519 | -8.7 pts | 3.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 85,087 | 49.8% | 0.7 pts (1,233 votes) | 170,942 | +4.7 pts | 0.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 89,817 | 50.4% | 1.8 pts (3,162 votes) | 178,215 | -2.5 pts | 0.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 267,740 | 39.1% of population |
| 2004 | 281,374 | 45.0% of population |
| 2008 | 295,096 | 45.9% of population |
| 2012 | 299,022 | 43.7% of population |
| 2016 | 301,307 | 47.6% of population |
| 2020 | 312,810 | 54.6% of population |
| 2024 | 322,989 | 55.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Northampton shifted 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Northampton has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Northampton voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Northampton has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Northampton?
Northampton's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 0.7 points (1,233 votes) out of 170,942 total votes cast.
Has Northampton ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Northampton changed which party won the county in: 2016, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Northampton?
The widest margin on record for Northampton was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 12.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Northampton relative to its population?
In 2024, 178,215 votes were recorded in Northampton against a total population of 322,989 (55.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Northampton a presidential bellwether county?
Northampton has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).