Montour, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Montour, Pennsylvania has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 19.5 pts more Rep. than Pennsylvania overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,960 | 61.0% | 24.7 pts (1,604 votes) | 6,492 | — | 29.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,903 | 64.3% | 29.3 pts (2,237 votes) | 7,624 | -4.2 pts | 32.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,574 | 57.0% | 15.1 pts (1,210 votes) | 8,023 | +14.3 pts | 25.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,652 | 59.4% | 20.4 pts (1,599 votes) | 7,831 | -5.5 pts | 26.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,288 | 61.8% | 28.4 pts (2,431 votes) | 8,556 | -9.1 pts | 29.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,844 | 59.8% | 21.2 pts (2,073 votes) | 9,771 | +8.3 pts | 22.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,944 | 60.0% | 21.0 pts (2,082 votes) | 9,908 | +0.3 pts | 19.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 18,275 | 35.5% of population |
| 2004 | 18,174 | 42.0% of population |
| 2008 | 18,090 | 44.4% of population |
| 2012 | 18,433 | 42.5% of population |
| 2016 | 18,257 | 46.9% of population |
| 2020 | 18,132 | 53.9% of population |
| 2024 | 18,115 | 54.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Montour shifted 4.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Montour has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Montour voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Montour has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Montour?
Montour's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 15.2 points (1,210 votes) out of 8,023 total votes cast.
Has Montour ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Montour has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Montour?
The widest margin on record for Montour was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 29.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Montour relative to its population?
In 2024, 9,908 votes were recorded in Montour against a total population of 18,115 (54.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Montour a presidential bellwether county?
Montour has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).