Monroe, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Monroe, Pennsylvania has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 0.9 pts more Dem. than Pennsylvania overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 23,265 | 49.6% | 2.8 pts (1,326 votes) | 46,878 | — | 7.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 27,971 | 49.6% | 0.0 pts (4 votes) | 56,342 | +2.9 pts | 2.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 39,453 | 57.7% | 16.3 pts (11,160 votes) | 68,385 | +16.5 pts | 6.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 35,221 | 56.0% | 13.3 pts (8,354 votes) | 62,917 | -3.0 pts | 8.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 33,918 | 48.6% | 0.8 pts (532 votes) | 69,752 | -12.7 pts | 1.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 44,060 | 52.6% | 6.4 pts (5,334 votes) | 83,829 | +5.7 pts | 5.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 42,676 | 49.9% | 0.8 pts (669 votes) | 85,525 | -7.2 pts | 0.9 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 139,710 | 33.6% of population |
| 2004 | 158,181 | 35.6% of population |
| 2008 | 168,576 | 40.6% of population |
| 2012 | 168,628 | 37.3% of population |
| 2016 | 166,220 | 42.0% of population |
| 2020 | 168,326 | 49.8% of population |
| 2024 | 166,523 | 51.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Monroe shifted 2.1 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Monroe has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Monroe voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Monroe has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Monroe?
Monroe's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.0 points (4 votes) out of 56,342 total votes cast.
Has Monroe ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Monroe changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Monroe?
The widest margin on record for Monroe was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 16.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Monroe relative to its population?
In 2024, 85,525 votes were recorded in Monroe against a total population of 166,523 (51.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Monroe a presidential bellwether county?
Monroe has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).