Mifflin, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Mifflin, Pennsylvania has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 55.1 pts more Rep. than Pennsylvania overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,400 | 64.3% | 31.2 pts (4,565 votes) | 14,614 | — | 36.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,726 | 69.8% | 40.7 pts (6,837 votes) | 16,802 | -9.1 pts | 43.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 10,929 | 66.2% | 33.7 pts (5,554 votes) | 16,501 | +7.1 pts | 44.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 11,939 | 72.9% | 46.8 pts (7,666 votes) | 16,371 | -13.2 pts | 52.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 14,094 | 75.8% | 54.9 pts (10,217 votes) | 18,601 | -9.6 pts | 56.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,670 | 77.5% | 56.1 pts (12,067 votes) | 21,502 | +0.1 pts | 57.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,184 | 77.9% | 56.4 pts (12,449 votes) | 22,071 | -0.1 pts | 55.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 46,479 | 31.4% of population |
| 2004 | 46,313 | 36.3% of population |
| 2008 | 46,600 | 35.4% of population |
| 2012 | 46,754 | 35.0% of population |
| 2016 | 46,316 | 40.2% of population |
| 2020 | 46,145 | 46.6% of population |
| 2024 | 45,935 | 48.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mifflin shifted 24.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Mifflin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Mifflin voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Mifflin has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Mifflin?
Mifflin's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 32.1 points (4,565 votes) out of 14,614 total votes cast.
Has Mifflin ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Mifflin has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mifflin?
The widest margin on record for Mifflin was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 56.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Mifflin relative to its population?
In 2024, 22,071 votes were recorded in Mifflin against a total population of 45,935 (48.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Mifflin a presidential bellwether county?
Mifflin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).