Carbon, Pennsylvania — Presidential Election Results
Carbon, Pennsylvania has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 33.4 pts more Rep. than Pennsylvania overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Pennsylvania |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 10,668 | 50.1% | 4.5 pts (951 votes) | 21,277 | — | 0.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,519 | 50.0% | 1.2 pts (296 votes) | 25,043 | -5.9 pts | 3.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 13,464 | 50.0% | 1.9 pts (507 votes) | 26,919 | +3.1 pts | 8.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 13,504 | 52.8% | 7.5 pts (1,924 votes) | 25,581 | -9.6 pts | 13.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 18,743 | 65.1% | 34.1 pts (9,807 votes) | 28,776 | -27.8 pts | 34.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 21,984 | 65.4% | 32.0 pts (10,772 votes) | 33,629 | +3.0 pts | 33.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,708 | 67.0% | 34.8 pts (12,314 votes) | 35,395 | -2.6 pts | 33.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 58,807 | 36.2% of population |
| 2004 | 61,274 | 40.9% of population |
| 2008 | 64,947 | 41.4% of population |
| 2012 | 64,800 | 39.5% of population |
| 2016 | 63,499 | 45.3% of population |
| 2020 | 64,752 | 51.9% of population |
| 2024 | 65,743 | 53.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Carbon shifted 39.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Carbon has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Pennsylvania Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Carbon voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Carbon has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Carbon?
Carbon's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.2 points (296 votes) out of 25,043 total votes cast.
Has Carbon ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Carbon changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Carbon?
The widest margin on record for Carbon was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 35.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Carbon relative to its population?
In 2024, 35,395 votes were recorded in Carbon against a total population of 65,743 (53.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Carbon a presidential bellwether county?
Carbon has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Pennsylvania's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).