Sullivan, New York — Presidential Election Results

Sullivan, New York has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 29.4 pts more Rep. than New York overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New York
2000 Al Gore Democratic 14,348 50.3% 5.8 pts (1,645 votes) 28,524 — 20.1 pts more Rep.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 14,447 46.7% 0.2 pts (49 votes) 30,966 -5.9 pts 19.5 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 16,850 54.1% 9.5 pts (2,950 votes) 31,153 +9.4 pts 17.4 pts more Rep.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 14,612 51.4% 11.5 pts (3,265 votes) 28,415 +3.0 pts 19.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 15,931 53.2% 11.2 pts (3,363 votes) 29,955 -24.4 pts 35.3 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 18,665 53.1% 9.0 pts (3,176 votes) 35,132 +2.5 pts 32.7 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 20,386 58.1% 16.6 pts (5,837 votes) 35,062 -7.4 pts 29.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 74,134 38.5% of population
2004 76,265 40.6% of population
2008 77,755 40.1% of population
2012 76,931 36.9% of population
2016 74,922 40.0% of population
2020 78,465 44.8% of population
2024 80,450 43.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sullivan shifted 22.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+6.1 pts 2004: D+0.2 pts 2008: D+9.6 pts 2012: D+12.6 pts 2016: R+11.8 pts 2020: R+9.3 pts 2024: R+16.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Sullivan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New York Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Sullivan voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Sullivan has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Sullivan?

Sullivan's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 0.2 points (49 votes) out of 30,966 total votes cast.

Has Sullivan ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Sullivan changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sullivan?

The widest margin on record for Sullivan was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 16.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Sullivan relative to its population?

In 2024, 35,062 votes were recorded in Sullivan against a total population of 80,450 (43.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Sullivan a presidential bellwether county?

Sullivan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).