Cayuga, New York — Presidential Election Results
Cayuga, New York has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 25.7 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 17,031 | 50.1% | 6.0 pts (2,043 votes) | 33,978 | — | 19.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 16,913 | 46.9% | 0.8 pts (287 votes) | 36,052 | -5.5 pts | 18.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 18,128 | 53.3% | 8.5 pts (2,885 votes) | 33,992 | +7.8 pts | 18.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 16,105 | 51.7% | 14.3 pts (4,459 votes) | 31,169 | +7.4 pts | 16.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 17,384 | 52.4% | 11.6 pts (3,862 votes) | 33,172 | -28.6 pts | 36.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,512 | 53.1% | 9.1 pts (3,363 votes) | 36,760 | +3.1 pts | 32.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 20,482 | 56.4% | 13.0 pts (4,710 votes) | 36,343 | -3.6 pts | 25.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 81,871 | 41.5% of population |
| 2004 | 81,284 | 44.4% of population |
| 2008 | 80,482 | 42.2% of population |
| 2012 | 79,505 | 39.2% of population |
| 2016 | 77,674 | 42.7% of population |
| 2020 | 76,151 | 48.3% of population |
| 2024 | 74,567 | 48.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cayuga shifted 19.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Cayuga has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Cayuga voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Cayuga has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Cayuga?
Cayuga's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 0.9 points (287 votes) out of 36,052 total votes cast.
Has Cayuga ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Cayuga changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cayuga?
The widest margin on record for Cayuga was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 16.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Cayuga relative to its population?
In 2024, 36,343 votes were recorded in Cayuga against a total population of 74,567 (48.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Cayuga a presidential bellwether county?
Cayuga has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).