Chautauqua, New York — Presidential Election Results
Chautauqua, New York has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 34.7 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 29,064 | 49.5% | 3.5 pts (2,048 votes) | 58,720 | — | 29.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 30,734 | 50.4% | 7.2 pts (4,365 votes) | 60,942 | -4.0 pts | 27.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 29,129 | 49.6% | 0.9 pts (550 votes) | 58,772 | +8.6 pts | 26.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 24,266 | 45.9% | 3.4 pts (1,803 votes) | 52,852 | -4.8 pts | 35.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 31,594 | 58.3% | 23.1 pts (12,503 votes) | 54,234 | -20.8 pts | 48.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 34,853 | 58.3% | 19.7 pts (11,766 votes) | 59,770 | +4.4 pts | 43.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 34,528 | 60.8% | 21.9 pts (12,443 votes) | 56,751 | -1.7 pts | 34.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 139,593 | 42.1% of population |
| 2004 | 137,174 | 44.4% of population |
| 2008 | 135,229 | 43.5% of population |
| 2012 | 133,304 | 39.6% of population |
| 2016 | 129,206 | 42.0% of population |
| 2020 | 127,370 | 46.9% of population |
| 2024 | 124,105 | 45.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Chautauqua shifted 18.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Chautauqua has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and New York's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Chautauqua voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Chautauqua has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Chautauqua?
Chautauqua's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 1.0 points (550 votes) out of 58,772 total votes cast.
Has Chautauqua ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Chautauqua changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Chautauqua?
The widest margin on record for Chautauqua was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 24.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Chautauqua relative to its population?
In 2024, 56,751 votes were recorded in Chautauqua against a total population of 124,105 (45.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Chautauqua a presidential bellwether county?
Chautauqua has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and New York's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).