Chemung, New York — Presidential Election Results
Chemung, New York has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 29.5 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 18,779 | 49.8% | 3.6 pts (1,355 votes) | 37,710 | — | 29.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,742 | 53.1% | 10.5 pts (4,103 votes) | 39,075 | -7.2 pts | 30.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 19,364 | 50.0% | 1.2 pts (476 votes) | 38,695 | +9.7 pts | 28.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 16,205 | 46.3% | 0.2 pts (67 votes) | 35,010 | +1.5 pts | 31.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 20,097 | 55.6% | 17.6 pts (6,340 votes) | 36,119 | -18.9 pts | 42.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 21,922 | 55.2% | 13.3 pts (5,286 votes) | 39,711 | +5.0 pts | 37.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 21,861 | 58.2% | 16.7 pts (6,289 votes) | 37,560 | -3.1 pts | 29.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 91,094 | 41.4% of population |
| 2004 | 89,777 | 43.5% of population |
| 2008 | 88,503 | 43.7% of population |
| 2012 | 89,137 | 39.3% of population |
| 2016 | 85,644 | 42.2% of population |
| 2020 | 83,677 | 47.5% of population |
| 2024 | 81,115 | 46.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Chemung shifted 13.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Chemung has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and New York's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Chemung voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Chemung has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Chemung?
Chemung's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 0.2 points (67 votes) out of 35,010 total votes cast.
Has Chemung ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Chemung changed which party won the county in: 2012, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Chemung?
The widest margin on record for Chemung was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 18.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Chemung relative to its population?
In 2024, 37,560 votes were recorded in Chemung against a total population of 81,115 (46.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Chemung a presidential bellwether county?
Chemung has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and New York's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).