Suffolk, New York — Presidential Election Results

Suffolk, New York has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 22.7 pts more Rep. than New York overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New York
2000 Al Gore Democratic 306,306 53.4% 11.4 pts (65,314 votes) 573,866 — 14.2 pts more Rep.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 307,011 48.1% 2.3 pts (14,825 votes) 638,712 -9.5 pts 17.2 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 346,379 52.6% 6.0 pts (39,564 votes) 659,027 +3.6 pts 20.9 pts more Rep.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 287,519 49.0% 7.5 pts (44,261 votes) 586,258 +2.3 pts 23.7 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 350,570 51.5% 6.8 pts (46,619 votes) 681,254 -15.5 pts 30.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 375,821 49.6% 1.0 pts (7,821 votes) 757,877 +6.1 pts 24.5 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 417,549 54.7% 9.9 pts (75,737 votes) 762,849 -8.9 pts 22.7 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 1,424,081 40.3% of population
2004 1,478,215 43.2% of population
2008 1,480,218 44.5% of population
2012 1,496,982 39.2% of population
2016 1,486,406 45.8% of population
2020 1,522,175 49.8% of population
2024 1,535,909 49.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Suffolk shifted 21.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+11.9 pts 2004: D+2.5 pts 2008: D+6.1 pts 2012: D+8.3 pts 2016: R+7.1 pts 2020: R+1.1 pts 2024: R+10.0 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Suffolk has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New York Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Suffolk voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Suffolk has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Suffolk?

Suffolk's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 1.1 points (7,821 votes) out of 757,877 total votes cast.

Has Suffolk ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Suffolk changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Suffolk?

The widest margin on record for Suffolk was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 11.9 points.

How many votes were cast in Suffolk relative to its population?

In 2024, 762,849 votes were recorded in Suffolk against a total population of 1,535,909 (49.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Suffolk a presidential bellwether county?

Suffolk has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).