St. Lawrence, New York — Presidential Election Results

St. Lawrence, New York has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 30.7 pts more Rep. than New York overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New York
2000 Al Gore Democratic 21,386 53.8% 12.4 pts (4,937 votes) 39,779 — 13.1 pts more Rep.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 22,173 53.1% 11.6 pts (4,863 votes) 41,755 -0.7 pts 7.3 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 23,706 57.5% 16.4 pts (6,750 votes) 41,242 +4.3 pts 10.4 pts more Rep.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 20,488 55.1% 18.7 pts (6,945 votes) 37,191 +3.8 pts 11.7 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 19,942 50.9% 8.8 pts (3,454 votes) 39,158 -29.9 pts 33.0 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 24,608 54.4% 11.6 pts (5,247 votes) 45,267 -2.5 pts 35.4 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 25,919 58.9% 18.0 pts (7,909 votes) 44,026 -6.1 pts 30.7 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 111,864 35.6% of population
2004 111,468 37.5% of population
2008 111,684 36.9% of population
2012 112,355 33.1% of population
2016 109,449 35.8% of population
2020 108,327 41.8% of population
2024 106,198 41.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St. Lawrence shifted 31.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+13.0 pts 2004: D+12.3 pts 2008: D+16.6 pts 2012: D+20.4 pts 2016: R+9.5 pts 2020: R+11.9 pts 2024: R+18.0 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

St. Lawrence has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New York Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has St. Lawrence voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, St. Lawrence has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in St. Lawrence?

St. Lawrence's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 9.5 points (3,454 votes) out of 39,158 total votes cast.

Has St. Lawrence ever flipped between parties?

Yes. St. Lawrence changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St. Lawrence?

The widest margin on record for St. Lawrence was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 20.4 points.

How many votes were cast in St. Lawrence relative to its population?

In 2024, 44,026 votes were recorded in St. Lawrence against a total population of 106,198 (41.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is St. Lawrence a presidential bellwether county?

St. Lawrence has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).