Otsego, New York — Presidential Election Results
Otsego, New York has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 20.6 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,219 | 48.2% | 3.0 pts (759 votes) | 25,358 | — | 29.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,768 | 47.9% | 1.4 pts (366 votes) | 26,652 | +1.8 pts | 21.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 13,570 | 52.0% | 5.9 pts (1,544 votes) | 26,101 | +7.5 pts | 21.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 11,530 | 47.8% | 4.5 pts (1,079 votes) | 24,139 | -1.1 pts | 27.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 13,308 | 51.8% | 11.1 pts (2,857 votes) | 25,668 | -16.9 pts | 35.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 14,382 | 51.0% | 5.0 pts (1,407 votes) | 28,223 | +6.9 pts | 28.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,256 | 53.7% | 7.8 pts (2,225 votes) | 28,436 | -2.7 pts | 20.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 61,860 | 41.0% of population |
| 2004 | 62,934 | 42.3% of population |
| 2008 | 62,561 | 41.7% of population |
| 2012 | 61,747 | 39.1% of population |
| 2016 | 60,132 | 42.7% of population |
| 2020 | 58,366 | 48.4% of population |
| 2024 | 60,524 | 47.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Otsego shifted 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Otsego has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New York's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Otsego voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Otsego has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Otsego?
Otsego's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.5 points (366 votes) out of 26,652 total votes cast.
Has Otsego ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Otsego changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Otsego?
The widest margin on record for Otsego was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 12.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Otsego relative to its population?
In 2024, 28,436 votes were recorded in Otsego against a total population of 60,524 (47.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Otsego a presidential bellwether county?
Otsego has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New York's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).