Oswego, New York — Presidential Election Results
Oswego, New York has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 36.9 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 23,249 | 48.0% | 0.8 pts (392 votes) | 48,473 | — | 27.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 24,675 | 47.8% | 2.7 pts (1,414 votes) | 51,607 | -2.1 pts | 22.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 24,777 | 50.3% | 2.4 pts (1,206 votes) | 49,255 | +5.4 pts | 24.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 22,178 | 49.7% | 10.2 pts (4,568 votes) | 44,591 | +9.0 pts | 20.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 27,688 | 57.5% | 22.0 pts (10,593 votes) | 48,180 | -35.1 pts | 47.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 32,138 | 58.6% | 20.0 pts (10,995 votes) | 54,852 | +3.0 pts | 44.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 33,548 | 61.9% | 24.1 pts (13,065 votes) | 54,163 | -3.5 pts | 36.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 122,477 | 39.6% of population |
| 2004 | 123,340 | 41.8% of population |
| 2008 | 122,366 | 40.3% of population |
| 2012 | 121,458 | 36.7% of population |
| 2016 | 118,895 | 40.5% of population |
| 2020 | 117,450 | 46.7% of population |
| 2024 | 118,305 | 45.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Oswego shifted 23.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Oswego has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New York's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Oswego voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Oswego has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Oswego?
Oswego's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.9 points (392 votes) out of 48,473 total votes cast.
Has Oswego ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Oswego changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Oswego?
The widest margin on record for Oswego was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 24.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Oswego relative to its population?
In 2024, 54,163 votes were recorded in Oswego against a total population of 118,305 (45.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Oswego a presidential bellwether county?
Oswego has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New York's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).