Orleans, New York — Presidential Election Results
Orleans, New York has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 53.1 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,202 | 58.1% | 20.3 pts (3,211 votes) | 15,843 | — | 47.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,796 | 59.1% | 24.5 pts (4,062 votes) | 16,573 | -5.0 pts | 45.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 9,708 | 58.6% | 18.7 pts (3,094 votes) | 16,574 | +7.2 pts | 45.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 7,585 | 51.6% | 14.1 pts (2,080 votes) | 14,706 | +3.1 pts | 48.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 10,936 | 66.8% | 39.5 pts (6,466 votes) | 16,380 | -26.1 pts | 65.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,126 | 66.2% | 35.7 pts (6,539 votes) | 18,314 | +5.1 pts | 60.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,659 | 70.1% | 40.4 pts (7,293 votes) | 18,071 | -3.5 pts | 53.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 44,178 | 35.9% of population |
| 2004 | 43,682 | 37.9% of population |
| 2008 | 43,254 | 38.3% of population |
| 2012 | 42,391 | 34.7% of population |
| 2016 | 41,247 | 39.7% of population |
| 2020 | 40,069 | 45.7% of population |
| 2024 | 39,686 | 45.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Orleans shifted 19.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Orleans has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Orleans voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Orleans has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Orleans?
Orleans's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 15.9 points (2,080 votes) out of 14,706 total votes cast.
Has Orleans ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Orleans has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Orleans?
The widest margin on record for Orleans was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 42.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Orleans relative to its population?
In 2024, 18,071 votes were recorded in Orleans against a total population of 39,686 (45.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Orleans a presidential bellwether county?
Orleans has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).