Niagara, New York — Presidential Election Results
Niagara, New York has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 27.6 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 47,781 | 51.2% | 7.3 pts (6,829 votes) | 93,257 | — | 18.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 45,644 | 47.3% | 1.2 pts (1,119 votes) | 96,580 | -6.5 pts | 18.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 47,303 | 49.7% | 1.0 pts (955 votes) | 95,207 | -0.2 pts | 26.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 41,837 | 47.0% | 4.1 pts (3,679 votes) | 89,013 | +3.6 pts | 27.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 51,961 | 56.2% | 17.8 pts (16,402 votes) | 92,402 | -23.3 pts | 42.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 56,068 | 53.5% | 9.6 pts (10,039 votes) | 104,866 | +8.9 pts | 33.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 58,678 | 57.3% | 14.9 pts (15,240 votes) | 102,431 | -5.1 pts | 27.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 219,620 | 42.5% of population |
| 2004 | 217,737 | 44.4% of population |
| 2008 | 215,793 | 44.1% of population |
| 2012 | 214,713 | 41.5% of population |
| 2016 | 211,554 | 43.7% of population |
| 2020 | 212,133 | 49.4% of population |
| 2024 | 209,570 | 48.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Niagara shifted 22.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Niagara has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Niagara voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Niagara has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Niagara?
Niagara's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 1.0 points (955 votes) out of 95,207 total votes cast.
Has Niagara ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Niagara changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Niagara?
The widest margin on record for Niagara was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 18.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Niagara relative to its population?
In 2024, 102,431 votes were recorded in Niagara against a total population of 209,570 (48.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Niagara a presidential bellwether county?
Niagara has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).