Madison, New York — Presidential Election Results
Madison, New York has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 25.8 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,879 | 52.5% | 10.1 pts (2,862 votes) | 28,366 | — | 36.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,584 | 51.5% | 9.6 pts (2,919 votes) | 30,287 | +0.3 pts | 30.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 14,692 | 49.3% | 0.9 pts (258 votes) | 29,778 | +11.2 pts | 26.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 13,231 | 47.1% | 4.3 pts (1,220 votes) | 28,094 | +3.9 pts | 27.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 15,936 | 53.0% | 14.2 pts (4,269 votes) | 30,064 | -20.3 pts | 39.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 18,408 | 53.7% | 10.5 pts (3,601 votes) | 34,266 | +4.6 pts | 34.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,025 | 56.3% | 13.0 pts (4,396 votes) | 33,814 | -2.2 pts | 25.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 69,450 | 40.8% of population |
| 2004 | 71,397 | 42.4% of population |
| 2008 | 73,075 | 40.7% of population |
| 2012 | 72,414 | 38.8% of population |
| 2016 | 71,387 | 42.1% of population |
| 2020 | 67,951 | 50.4% of population |
| 2024 | 67,072 | 50.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Madison shifted 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Madison has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New York's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Madison voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Madison has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Madison?
Madison's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 0.9 points (258 votes) out of 29,778 total votes cast.
Has Madison ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Madison changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Madison?
The widest margin on record for Madison was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 15.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Madison relative to its population?
In 2024, 33,814 votes were recorded in Madison against a total population of 67,072 (50.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Madison a presidential bellwether county?
Madison has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New York's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).