Jefferson, New York — Presidential Election Results
Jefferson, New York has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 36.3 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 18,192 | 50.0% | 3.8 pts (1,393 votes) | 36,418 | — | 30.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,248 | 52.2% | 10.1 pts (3,906 votes) | 38,800 | -6.7 pts | 30.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 20,219 | 52.0% | 5.3 pts (2,053 votes) | 38,847 | +5.3 pts | 32.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 16,435 | 46.0% | 0.6 pts (204 votes) | 35,708 | +4.7 pts | 32.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 21,763 | 56.9% | 20.8 pts (7,954 votes) | 38,236 | -21.7 pts | 45.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 25,629 | 58.1% | 18.9 pts (8,322 votes) | 44,129 | +3.0 pts | 42.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 26,417 | 61.7% | 23.6 pts (10,091 votes) | 42,843 | -4.2 pts | 36.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 111,790 | 32.6% of population |
| 2004 | 109,924 | 35.3% of population |
| 2008 | 115,033 | 33.8% of population |
| 2012 | 120,235 | 29.7% of population |
| 2016 | 112,980 | 33.8% of population |
| 2020 | 116,071 | 38.0% of population |
| 2024 | 113,140 | 37.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Jefferson shifted 19.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Jefferson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Jefferson voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Jefferson has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Jefferson?
Jefferson's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 0.6 points (204 votes) out of 35,708 total votes cast.
Has Jefferson ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Jefferson has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Jefferson?
The widest margin on record for Jefferson was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 23.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Jefferson relative to its population?
In 2024, 42,843 votes were recorded in Jefferson against a total population of 113,140 (37.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Jefferson a presidential bellwether county?
Jefferson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).