Herkimer, New York — Presidential Election Results
Herkimer, New York has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 49.1 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,147 | 51.1% | 6.9 pts (1,923 votes) | 27,705 | — | 33.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,265 | 53.9% | 13.7 pts (3,882 votes) | 28,310 | -7.3 pts | 34.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 14,619 | 53.8% | 9.3 pts (2,525 votes) | 27,184 | +5.1 pts | 36.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,166 | 48.6% | 5.4 pts (1,340 votes) | 25,040 | +3.6 pts | 37.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 16,699 | 63.6% | 32.8 pts (8,616 votes) | 26,255 | -28.9 pts | 58.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 18,870 | 63.8% | 30.2 pts (8,933 votes) | 29,560 | +3.8 pts | 54.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,557 | 68.1% | 36.4 pts (10,447 votes) | 28,725 | -5.4 pts | 49.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 64,451 | 43.0% of population |
| 2004 | 64,332 | 44.0% of population |
| 2008 | 64,404 | 42.2% of population |
| 2012 | 64,227 | 39.0% of population |
| 2016 | 62,436 | 42.1% of population |
| 2020 | 60,031 | 49.2% of population |
| 2024 | 59,585 | 48.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Herkimer shifted 29.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Herkimer has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Herkimer voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Herkimer has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Herkimer?
Herkimer's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 5.8 points (1,340 votes) out of 25,040 total votes cast.
Has Herkimer ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Herkimer has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Herkimer?
The widest margin on record for Herkimer was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 36.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Herkimer relative to its population?
In 2024, 28,725 votes were recorded in Herkimer against a total population of 59,585 (48.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Herkimer a presidential bellwether county?
Herkimer has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New York's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).