Essex, New York — Presidential Election Results

Essex, New York has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2020. In 2024, it was 12.2 pts more Rep. than New York overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New York
2000 George W. Bush Republican 8,822 49.2% 5.0 pts (895 votes) 17,932 — 31.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 9,390 49.2% 4.8 pts (916 votes) 19,082 +0.2 pts 24.8 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 10,390 55.9% 13.3 pts (2,477 votes) 18,591 +18.7 pts 13.5 pts more Rep.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 9,368 56.0% 19.7 pts (3,292 votes) 16,717 +7.8 pts 10.8 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 7,958 46.2% 1.1 pts (196 votes) 17,218 -22.6 pts 24.8 pts more Rep.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 9,947 51.1% 5.0 pts (971 votes) 19,470 +6.4 pts 18.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 9,629 50.1% 0.5 pts (96 votes) 19,236 -4.6 pts 12.2 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 38,911 46.1% of population
2004 39,295 48.6% of population
2008 39,435 47.1% of population
2012 38,875 43.0% of population
2016 37,671 45.7% of population
2020 37,288 52.2% of population
2024 36,744 52.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Essex shifted 5.8 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+5.3 pts 2004: R+5.1 pts 2008: D+13.5 pts 2012: D+21.3 pts 2016: R+1.2 pts 2020: D+5.1 pts 2024: D+0.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Essex has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New York Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Essex voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Essex has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Essex?

Essex's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 0.5 points (96 votes) out of 19,236 total votes cast.

Has Essex ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Essex changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, 2020, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Essex?

The widest margin on record for Essex was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 21.3 points.

How many votes were cast in Essex relative to its population?

In 2024, 19,236 votes were recorded in Essex against a total population of 36,744 (52.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Essex a presidential bellwether county?

Essex has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New York's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).