Erie, New York — Presidential Election Results
Erie, New York has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 3.0 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 240,176 | 56.6% | 18.8 pts (80,000 votes) | 424,654 | — | 6.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 240,563 | 54.0% | 15.1 pts (67,365 votes) | 445,138 | -3.7 pts | 3.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 256,299 | 58.0% | 17.5 pts (77,484 votes) | 441,985 | +1.5 pts | 9.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 227,325 | 54.9% | 18.7 pts (77,642 votes) | 414,195 | +2.8 pts | 11.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 215,456 | 50.9% | 6.4 pts (27,153 votes) | 423,625 | -13.9 pts | 16.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 267,174 | 56.0% | 14.6 pts (69,647 votes) | 476,787 | +8.3 pts | 8.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 248,651 | 54.5% | 9.6 pts (43,877 votes) | 456,550 | -5.3 pts | 3.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 949,440 | 44.7% of population |
| 2004 | 938,333 | 47.4% of population |
| 2008 | 920,571 | 48.0% of population |
| 2012 | 919,906 | 45.0% of population |
| 2016 | 918,678 | 46.1% of population |
| 2020 | 952,353 | 50.1% of population |
| 2024 | 950,602 | 48.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Erie shifted 10.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Erie has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New York's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Erie voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Erie has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Erie?
Erie's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 6.7 points (27,153 votes) out of 423,625 total votes cast.
Has Erie ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Erie has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Erie?
The widest margin on record for Erie was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 20.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Erie relative to its population?
In 2024, 456,550 votes were recorded in Erie against a total population of 950,602 (48.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Erie a presidential bellwether county?
Erie has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New York's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).