Dutchess, New York — Presidential Election Results
Dutchess, New York has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 7.3 pts more Rep. than New York overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New York |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 52,669 | 47.1% | 0.2 pts (279 votes) | 111,762 | — | 26.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 59,323 | 47.9% | 2.3 pts (2,790 votes) | 123,881 | -2.1 pts | 22.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 71,060 | 53.7% | 8.6 pts (11,432 votes) | 132,254 | +11.2 pts | 18.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 62,063 | 50.2% | 11.2 pts (13,799 votes) | 123,705 | +3.8 pts | 19.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 62,261 | 47.6% | 0.4 pts (464 votes) | 130,934 | -12.1 pts | 23.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 81,443 | 53.6% | 9.6 pts (14,571 votes) | 151,889 | +9.5 pts | 13.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 79,994 | 52.4% | 5.4 pts (8,216 votes) | 152,659 | -4.4 pts | 7.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 280,914 | 39.8% of population |
| 2004 | 292,859 | 42.3% of population |
| 2008 | 296,267 | 44.6% of population |
| 2012 | 297,023 | 41.6% of population |
| 2016 | 293,029 | 44.7% of population |
| 2020 | 295,913 | 51.3% of population |
| 2024 | 299,963 | 50.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Dutchess shifted 5.7 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Dutchess has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and New York's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New York Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Dutchess voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Dutchess has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Dutchess?
Dutchess's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.3 points (279 votes) out of 111,762 total votes cast.
Has Dutchess ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Dutchess changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Dutchess?
The widest margin on record for Dutchess was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 12.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Dutchess relative to its population?
In 2024, 152,659 votes were recorded in Dutchess against a total population of 299,963 (50.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Dutchess a presidential bellwether county?
Dutchess has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and New York's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).