Warren, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Warren, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 6.4 pts more Dem. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,235 | 61.4% | 24.4 pts (8,055 votes) | 32,975 | — | 9.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 25,100 | 63.2% | 27.1 pts (10,774 votes) | 39,711 | -2.5 pts | 7.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 25,993 | 58.9% | 18.9 pts (8,324 votes) | 44,145 | +8.3 pts | 2.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 26,384 | 60.1% | 21.8 pts (9,579 votes) | 43,903 | -3.1 pts | 0.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 28,673 | 59.2% | 24.2 pts (11,707 votes) | 48,454 | -3.5 pts | 5.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 31,790 | 57.4% | 16.8 pts (9,313 votes) | 55,351 | +8.5 pts | 9.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 34,862 | 61.3% | 24.3 pts (13,797 votes) | 56,891 | -7.5 pts | 6.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 92,917 | 35.5% of population |
| 2004 | 99,497 | 39.9% of population |
| 2008 | 109,803 | 40.2% of population |
| 2012 | 117,389 | 37.4% of population |
| 2016 | 126,419 | 38.3% of population |
| 2020 | 135,033 | 41.0% of population |
| 2024 | 147,936 | 38.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Warren shifted 0.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Warren has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Warren voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Warren has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Warren?
Warren's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 17.2 points (9,313 votes) out of 55,351 total votes cast.
Has Warren ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Warren has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Warren?
The widest margin on record for Warren was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 27.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Warren relative to its population?
In 2024, 56,891 votes were recorded in Warren against a total population of 147,936 (38.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Warren a presidential bellwether county?
Warren has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).