Adair, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Adair, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 40.7 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,460 | 74.5% | 50.2 pts (3,681 votes) | 7,328 | — | 35.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,628 | 75.6% | 51.9 pts (3,864 votes) | 7,447 | -1.4 pts | 32.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,512 | 75.5% | 52.7 pts (3,844 votes) | 7,298 | -1.3 pts | 37.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 5,841 | 76.9% | 55.0 pts (4,181 votes) | 7,600 | -2.2 pts | 32.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,637 | 80.6% | 64.5 pts (5,314 votes) | 8,233 | -11.0 pts | 35.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,276 | 83.0% | 67.1 pts (5,884 votes) | 8,763 | -1.1 pts | 41.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,643 | 85.2% | 71.2 pts (6,386 votes) | 8,974 | -3.9 pts | 40.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 17,327 | 42.3% of population |
| 2004 | 17,994 | 41.4% of population |
| 2008 | 18,541 | 39.4% of population |
| 2012 | 18,934 | 40.1% of population |
| 2016 | 19,259 | 42.7% of population |
| 2020 | 18,881 | 46.4% of population |
| 2024 | 19,239 | 46.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Adair shifted 20.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Adair has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Adair voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Adair has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Adair?
Adair's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 50.8 points (3,681 votes) out of 7,328 total votes cast.
Has Adair ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Adair has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Adair?
The widest margin on record for Adair was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 71.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Adair relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,974 votes were recorded in Adair against a total population of 19,239 (46.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Adair a presidential bellwether county?
Adair has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).