Ballard, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results

Ballard, Kentucky has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 34.4 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Kentucky
2000 Al Gore Democratic 1,880 49.9% 1.5 pts (56 votes) 3,770 — 17.0 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 2,389 57.2% 15.1 pts (630 votes) 4,177 -16.7 pts 4.8 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 2,537 62.5% 27.3 pts (1,110 votes) 4,060 -12.8 pts 11.5 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 2,647 68.0% 37.4 pts (1,458 votes) 3,895 -10.0 pts 14.9 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 3,161 77.1% 57.2 pts (2,345 votes) 4,101 -21.0 pts 27.6 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 3,356 79.4% 59.9 pts (2,531 votes) 4,225 -1.6 pts 34.1 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 3,331 81.5% 64.4 pts (2,634 votes) 4,088 -4.9 pts 34.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 8,304 45.4% of population
2004 8,242 50.7% of population
2008 8,265 49.1% of population
2012 8,285 47.0% of population
2016 8,046 51.0% of population
2020 7,714 54.8% of population
2024 7,626 53.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Ballard shifted 66.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+1.5 pts 2004: R+15.2 pts 2008: R+28.0 pts 2012: R+38.0 pts 2016: R+59.0 pts 2020: R+60.5 pts 2024: R+65.4 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Ballard has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Kentucky Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Ballard voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Ballard has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Ballard?

Ballard's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 1.5 points (56 votes) out of 3,770 total votes cast.

Has Ballard ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Ballard changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Ballard?

The widest margin on record for Ballard was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 65.4 points.

How many votes were cast in Ballard relative to its population?

In 2024, 4,088 votes were recorded in Ballard against a total population of 7,626 (53.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Ballard a presidential bellwether county?

Ballard has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).