Simpson, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Simpson, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 13.4 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,169 | 54.4% | 10.1 pts (586 votes) | 5,824 | — | 5.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,273 | 60.7% | 21.9 pts (1,543 votes) | 7,043 | -11.8 pts | 2.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,437 | 60.7% | 22.7 pts (1,662 votes) | 7,309 | -1.0 pts | 6.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,355 | 61.4% | 24.0 pts (1,705 votes) | 7,093 | -1.3 pts | 1.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,077 | 67.4% | 38.9 pts (2,933 votes) | 7,531 | -16.3 pts | 9.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,888 | 67.4% | 36.7 pts (3,207 votes) | 8,732 | +3.2 pts | 11.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,253 | 71.3% | 43.9 pts (3,850 votes) | 8,776 | -7.1 pts | 13.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 16,416 | 35.5% of population |
| 2004 | 16,820 | 41.9% of population |
| 2008 | 17,182 | 42.5% of population |
| 2012 | 17,543 | 40.4% of population |
| 2016 | 17,992 | 41.9% of population |
| 2020 | 19,629 | 44.5% of population |
| 2024 | 20,350 | 43.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Simpson shifted 34.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Simpson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Simpson voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Simpson has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Simpson?
Simpson's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 10.2 points (586 votes) out of 5,824 total votes cast.
Has Simpson ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Simpson has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Simpson?
The widest margin on record for Simpson was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 44.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Simpson relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,776 votes were recorded in Simpson against a total population of 20,350 (43.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Simpson a presidential bellwether county?
Simpson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).