Rockcastle, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results

Rockcastle, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 43.1 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Kentucky
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,992 76.1% 53.7 pts (2,818 votes) 5,247 — 39.1 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 4,804 77.9% 56.5 pts (3,484 votes) 6,166 -2.3 pts 36.9 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,757 75.8% 53.3 pts (3,347 votes) 6,274 +2.6 pts 37.8 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,028 80.9% 63.2 pts (3,931 votes) 6,216 -9.9 pts 41.1 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 5,609 83.8% 70.2 pts (4,694 votes) 6,691 -7.8 pts 40.6 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 6,577 84.5% 69.9 pts (5,443 votes) 7,783 +1.4 pts 44.2 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 6,635 85.9% 73.1 pts (5,649 votes) 7,724 -3.5 pts 43.1 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 16,623 31.6% of population
2004 16,822 36.7% of population
2008 17,216 36.4% of population
2012 17,057 36.4% of population
2016 16,872 39.7% of population
2020 16,063 48.5% of population
2024 16,226 47.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Rockcastle shifted 19.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+54.5 pts 2004: R+56.9 pts 2008: R+54.3 pts 2012: R+64.2 pts 2016: R+71.9 pts 2020: R+70.6 pts 2024: R+74.1 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Rockcastle has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Kentucky Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Rockcastle voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Rockcastle has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Rockcastle?

Rockcastle's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 54.3 points (3,347 votes) out of 6,274 total votes cast.

Has Rockcastle ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Rockcastle has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Rockcastle?

The widest margin on record for Rockcastle was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 74.1 points.

How many votes were cast in Rockcastle relative to its population?

In 2024, 7,724 votes were recorded in Rockcastle against a total population of 16,226 (47.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Rockcastle a presidential bellwether county?

Rockcastle has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).