Oldham, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Oldham, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 8.0 pts more Dem. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 13,580 | 67.0% | 36.2 pts (7,344 votes) | 20,268 | — | 21.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 18,801 | 69.3% | 39.5 pts (10,721 votes) | 27,132 | -2.8 pts | 19.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 18,997 | 64.8% | 30.7 pts (8,997 votes) | 29,316 | +8.9 pts | 14.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 20,179 | 67.5% | 36.6 pts (10,939 votes) | 29,884 | -6.2 pts | 14.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 20,469 | 62.3% | 31.1 pts (10,201 votes) | 32,853 | +4.0 pts | 1.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 22,651 | 59.7% | 21.5 pts (8,147 votes) | 37,936 | +11.3 pts | 4.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,025 | 60.3% | 22.6 pts (8,623 votes) | 38,210 | -1.1 pts | 8.0 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 46,895 | 43.2% of population |
| 2004 | 52,830 | 51.4% of population |
| 2008 | 59,375 | 49.4% of population |
| 2012 | 62,105 | 48.1% of population |
| 2016 | 65,410 | 50.2% of population |
| 2020 | 67,696 | 56.0% of population |
| 2024 | 70,525 | 54.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Oldham shifted 14.0 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Oldham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Oldham voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Oldham has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Oldham?
Oldham's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 21.9 points (8,147 votes) out of 37,936 total votes cast.
Has Oldham ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Oldham has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Oldham?
The widest margin on record for Oldham was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 39.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Oldham relative to its population?
In 2024, 38,210 votes were recorded in Oldham against a total population of 70,525 (54.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Oldham a presidential bellwether county?
Oldham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).