Nicholas, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Nicholas, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 18.7 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,613 | 60.3% | 23.2 pts (619 votes) | 2,673 | — | 8.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,700 | 55.6% | 12.0 pts (368 votes) | 3,059 | +11.6 pts | 7.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,634 | 55.0% | 12.2 pts (362 votes) | 2,970 | -0.3 pts | 4.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,583 | 61.3% | 24.6 pts (635 votes) | 2,581 | -12.6 pts | 2.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,957 | 68.9% | 41.2 pts (1,170 votes) | 2,841 | -17.5 pts | 11.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,408 | 70.9% | 42.8 pts (1,453 votes) | 3,396 | -0.6 pts | 16.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,451 | 73.8% | 49.0 pts (1,627 votes) | 3,319 | -6.5 pts | 18.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 6,789 | 39.4% of population |
| 2004 | 7,139 | 42.8% of population |
| 2008 | 7,135 | 41.6% of population |
| 2012 | 7,008 | 36.8% of population |
| 2016 | 7,083 | 40.1% of population |
| 2020 | 7,540 | 45.0% of population |
| 2024 | 7,816 | 42.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Nicholas shifted 25.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Nicholas has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Nicholas voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Nicholas has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Nicholas?
Nicholas's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 12.1 points (368 votes) out of 3,059 total votes cast.
Has Nicholas ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Nicholas has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Nicholas?
The widest margin on record for Nicholas was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 49.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Nicholas relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,319 votes were recorded in Nicholas against a total population of 7,816 (42.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Nicholas a presidential bellwether county?
Nicholas has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).