Muhlenberg, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Muhlenberg, Kentucky has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 23.9 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 6,295 | 52.7% | 6.5 pts (777 votes) | 11,956 | — | 22.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,749 | 50.1% | 0.8 pts (113 votes) | 13,479 | -7.4 pts | 19.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,447 | 50.0% | 1.8 pts (226 votes) | 12,889 | -0.9 pts | 14.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 7,762 | 60.9% | 23.5 pts (2,991 votes) | 12,739 | -22.1 pts | 0.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 9,393 | 71.9% | 46.9 pts (6,121 votes) | 13,060 | -24.5 pts | 17.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 10,496 | 73.8% | 48.9 pts (6,952 votes) | 14,229 | -1.2 pts | 23.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 10,491 | 76.6% | 54.4 pts (7,443 votes) | 13,692 | -5.5 pts | 23.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 31,795 | 37.6% of population |
| 2004 | 31,615 | 42.6% of population |
| 2008 | 31,486 | 40.9% of population |
| 2012 | 31,382 | 40.6% of population |
| 2016 | 31,150 | 41.9% of population |
| 2020 | 30,897 | 46.1% of population |
| 2024 | 30,512 | 44.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Muhlenberg shifted 61.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Muhlenberg has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Muhlenberg voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Muhlenberg has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Muhlenberg?
Muhlenberg's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.8 points (113 votes) out of 13,479 total votes cast.
Has Muhlenberg ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Muhlenberg changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Muhlenberg?
The widest margin on record for Muhlenberg was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 55.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Muhlenberg relative to its population?
In 2024, 13,692 votes were recorded in Muhlenberg against a total population of 30,512 (44.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Muhlenberg a presidential bellwether county?
Muhlenberg has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).