Metcalfe, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Metcalfe, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 34.2 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,476 | 64.3% | 30.1 pts (1,158 votes) | 3,849 | — | 15.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,645 | 63.6% | 28.2 pts (1,173 votes) | 4,157 | +2.0 pts | 8.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,734 | 65.1% | 33.0 pts (1,384 votes) | 4,199 | -5.4 pts | 17.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,676 | 64.0% | 29.9 pts (1,251 votes) | 4,184 | +3.4 pts | 7.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,491 | 75.6% | 54.4 pts (2,515 votes) | 4,620 | -25.8 pts | 25.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,959 | 79.0% | 59.5 pts (2,984 votes) | 5,012 | -4.2 pts | 34.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,197 | 81.9% | 64.6 pts (3,313 votes) | 5,127 | -4.7 pts | 34.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 10,005 | 38.5% of population |
| 2004 | 10,008 | 41.5% of population |
| 2008 | 10,166 | 41.3% of population |
| 2012 | 9,983 | 41.9% of population |
| 2016 | 10,020 | 46.1% of population |
| 2020 | 10,285 | 48.7% of population |
| 2024 | 10,558 | 48.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Metcalfe shifted 34.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Metcalfe has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Metcalfe voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Metcalfe has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Metcalfe?
Metcalfe's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 28.5 points (1,173 votes) out of 4,157 total votes cast.
Has Metcalfe ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Metcalfe has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Metcalfe?
The widest margin on record for Metcalfe was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 65.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Metcalfe relative to its population?
In 2024, 5,127 votes were recorded in Metcalfe against a total population of 10,558 (48.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Metcalfe a presidential bellwether county?
Metcalfe has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).